AZ Pandemic in Numbers for the Week Ending March 13

 

Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers for the week ending March 13:


As with last week, the numbers are all headed in the right direction. Maricopa County cases show a slightly larger decrease than last week, as do statewide cases and positive test percent.

The statewide numbers, and possibly the Maricopa County numbers too, should be taken with a grain of salt. I get the data from CDC but it lags behind by two days.  So to get the "yesterday" average I have to get the total cases from the ASU Biodesign dashboard (which gets its data from ADHS) on Saturday.

The issue is that it listed negative new case numbers for Maricopa, LaPaz, and Graham. Either those counties boarded a time machine and prevented infection of several of their citizens, or there are more screwups with data reporting to (or at) ADHS.

Assuming the latter, I substituted the 7-day trailing average value for those counties. That value was still negative for LaPaz (I counted it as having zero new  cases yesterday), positive but unrealistic for Graham (1.7), and realistic for Maricopa (711).  

The effect is probably not too severe because the total for yesterday is part of a seven-day average. The good news is that there is no sign of the fourth wave of the virus that public health people have been fretting about. Yet.

Here is the Arizona Vaccine Accelerator for with new data for last week:

The "any shot" numbers keep accelerating, though at a lower rate than January 20 through February 20. On the other hand, both shots are decelerating. 

This should not happen if people are getting their second shots 3-4 weeks after the first; otherwise it would track the acceleration in the February 6 - February 13 range. So hard to tell what is going on there, but it's not what we'd like to see.

Top Image by Shutterbug75 from Pixabay

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