Corona-zona

  Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers and graph of statewide cases for the seven day period ending Wednesday: Another week without much to get excited about. Except for Yavapai County wastewater, the values that increased look like a large percentage increase but were based on a small number from last week to begin with.  Real levels remain low for everything. This is especially obvious when comparing them to the maximums I've recorded since the winter/spring 2022 wave.

  Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers and graph of statewide cases for the seven day period ending Wednesday: Well these are pretty good looking numbers. Everything is down except hospital beds over four weeks (it is down over a week though) and Yavapai County wastewater. Not sure what's going on up in the Prescott area. They have almost tripled wastewater readings over the last month, and they are almost triple the next highest county (Pima).  As I've noted before, there are a lot of COVIDiots up there. Even at the height of the pandemic few people wore masks. Also their overall vaccination rates are around 10% lower than Maricopa County. 

  Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers and graph of statewide cases for the seven day period ending Wednesday: This week's numbers are a mixed bag. Cases are down a little in Maricopa County and up a little more statewide. Hospital beds are up a little. Deaths increased 115%, but I'm calling B.S. on that one. Probably another stale data dump from AzDHS. We will see next week. All the wastewater signals are down except Yavapai County. We don't know what the level is in Tempe because once again they are late updating their dashboard . [Updated on 3/17 with Tempe data] After last week's summary, there was some discussion on  Reddit CoronavirusAZ  about wastewater numbers. I mentioned that they didn't always seem to me to track the other indicators, and I said I would investigate I have 47 weeks of data that include wastewater levels. The areas included in that have expanded over time so I just calculated the average of whatever numbers I had for a given week and plott

As of last Friday, Johns Hopkins University pulled the plug on its popular Coronavirus Resource Center . The site ran for just over three years, and was an interdisciplinary collaboration between JHU's Applied Physics Laboratory, the Bloomberg School of Public Health, the Center for Systems Science and Engineering in the Whiting School of Engineering, the School of Medicine, Sheridan Libraries, and the Bloomberg Center for Government Excellence. The World Economic Forum called the site "One of the most vital and trusted resources in the fight against the spread of COVID-19." Astonishingly, it was viewed more than  2.5 billion times . This blog accounted for a few of those visits, and you'll find it linked several times in previous posts. It was an important resource for my reporting. They are closing the site because vaccines have reduced the risk of death, and because reliable public health data was becoming increasingly hard to get at the global scale the dashboa

  Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers and graph of statewide cases for the seven day period ending Wednesday: Things look pretty good this week. Cases and deaths are lower. Things that are up are only up a little. The only exception to this is Yavapai County wastewater.  A couple weeks ago I was worried about another upward trend, but I don't see much evidence of it at this point. Overall it looks like the numbers are dithering around some kind of floor, as can be seen in the case graph. Good numbers to get for parents going into spring break!

  Here are the Arizona pandemic numbers and graph of statewide cases for the seven day period ending Wednesday: Welp, remember last week's report when the thinking was the huge jump in cases was due to a dump of stale data from 2022?  It was, but not completely.  For the case graph this week I replaced last week's anomalous value with the average of this week and two weeks ago (this is called imputation ). As you can see, there is an upward trend so there were likely some "real" increased cases last week.  Hospital beds are up, as are almost all the wastewater readings. So I'm guessing that there is some sort of increase going on. Increases are still modest week-over-week. We will have to see if it gains steam next week before we think about declaring a new wave. Previous posts you may have missed: Did SARS-CoV-2 Leak from a Chinese Lab? Maybe, Maybe Not Virus Coming-in on International Flights Says Captain Obvious Bret Stephens Misrepresents Study to Claim Anti-